Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.323640 1.510051 1.713160 1.950885 2.221514 2.520047 2.874412
2025-02-02 1.085546 1.351092 1.666067 2.067212 2.564678 3.161633 3.932999
2025-02-09 0.944589 1.248901 1.631759 2.148794 2.829180 3.694698 4.880891
2025-02-16 0.829520 1.152500 1.578949 2.183210 3.018021 4.131983 5.734120
2025-02-23 0.717797 1.041173 1.486430 2.144252 3.092276 4.410912 6.388550
2025-03-02 0.635629 0.958268 1.419519 2.126952 3.185792 4.714320 7.094382
2025-03-09 0.575450 0.898665 1.376861 2.135775 3.311587 5.067512 7.896896
2025-03-16 0.524761 0.846722 1.338444 2.143937 3.432502 5.418208 8.720994
2025-03-23 0.484089 0.805358 1.310834 2.163776 3.569735 5.800957 9.623949
2025-03-30 0.435353 0.745513 1.247415 2.118383 3.595248 6.004937 10.251128
2025-04-06 0.393277 0.692198 1.188984 2.074308 3.616375 6.199578 10.874304
2025-04-13 0.351150 0.634460 1.117444 2.000309 3.578026 6.288210 11.318941
2025-04-20 0.344567 0.639098 1.154158 2.119873 3.890452 7.009307 12.947575
2025-04-27 0.338199 0.643507 1.190816 2.242700 4.220008 7.789253 14.755267
2025-05-04 0.327091 0.637850 1.208378 2.331301 4.493449 8.489251 16.475565
2025-05-11 0.309959 0.618959 1.199474 2.368631 4.672612 9.028352 17.936432
2025-05-18 0.284548 0.581437 1.151792 2.326372 4.693645 9.268613 18.835723
2025-05-25 0.264391 0.552414 1.117822 2.307606 4.758246 9.596256 19.933827
2025-06-01 0.249211 0.532042 1.098987 2.317176 4.879687 10.043843 21.310793
2025-06-08 0.235234 0.512841 1.080746 2.326029 4.999692 10.496853 22.735991
2025-06-15 0.223606 0.497543 1.069142 2.347550 5.147558 11.017803 24.348088
2025-06-22 0.206459 0.468653 1.026439 2.298310 5.138794 11.208465 25.260161
2025-06-29 0.190922 0.441918 0.986069 2.250500 5.128593 11.394120 26.175127